Matchup Machine

Dominic Fletcher

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matchup for Logan Webb

261st out of 436 (Worst 40%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for D. Fletcher

191st out of 567 (Best 35%)

Moderate advantage for Fletcher
3

Model Prediction

Dominic Fletcher has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.0% higher than Fletcher's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.2%26.0%1.8%5.7%18.5%5.2%16.3%
Fletcher+1.0+2.6-0.2+0.4+2.5-1.7-5.7
Webb-0.9+1.3-0.6+0.5+1.4-2.2-5.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Dominic Fletcher is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fletcher doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Dominic Fletcher hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

16.5% of Dominic Fletcher's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -0.5% -0.8% 6%         Walk -3.5% -2.4% 45%         In Play +4.0% +3.2% 39%         On Base +0.4% +1.6% 31%         Hit +3.9% +4.0% 14%         Single +2.8% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +3.2% +2.8% 3%         Home Run -2.1% -1.3%

History

Dominic Fletcher has 6 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 6 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual660000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.860.000.020.840.143
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-21Groundout5%94%
2024-08-21Strikeout
2024-08-21Groundout17%83%
2023-05-14Strikeout
2023-05-14Lineout60%39%
2023-05-14Groundout1%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.