Matchup Machine

Dominic Fletcher

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

183rd out of 436 (Best 43%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for D. Fletcher

122nd out of 567 (Best 22%)

Moderate advantage for Fletcher
5

Model Prediction

Dominic Fletcher has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.2% higher than Fletcher's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.5%25.6%2.9%5.2%17.5%6.9%20.0%
Fletcher+2.2+2.2+0.8-0.1+1.5+0.1-2.0
Flaherty-1.7+2.3-0.7+0.1+3.0-4.0-2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Dominic Fletcher is better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Fletcher has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Dominic Fletcher has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

16.5% of Dominic Fletcher's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -0.5% +5.8% 6%         Walk -3.5% -1.5% 45%         In Play +4.0% -4.3% 39%         On Base +0.4% -2.0% 31%         Hit +3.9% -0.5% 14%         Single +2.8% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.2% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -2.1% -0.2%

History

Dominic Fletcher has 2 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.270.000.030.250.137
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-03-31Strikeout
2024-03-31Groundout3%25%73%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.