Matchup Machine

      Dominic Fletcher

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      matchup for Aaron Civale

      173rd out of 436 (Best 40%)

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      Aaron Civale

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      matchup for D. Fletcher

      364th out of 567 (Worst 36%)

      Leans in favor of Civale
      2

      Model Prediction

      Dominic Fletcher has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Civale, which is 1.2% lower than Fletcher's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Civale.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Dominic Fletcher is better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Civale is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fletcher doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Aaron Civale throws a Cutter 32% of the time. Dominic Fletcher hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
      32%
         Sinker (R)
      21%
         Curve (R)
      20%
         4-Seam (R)
      11%
         Slider (R)
      10%

      Contact and Outcomes

      16.5% of Dominic Fletcher's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Aaron Civale strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -0.5% +0.4% 6%         Walk -3.5% -1.3% 45%         In Play +4.0% +1.0% 39%         On Base +0.4% -0.9% 31%         Hit +3.9% +0.5% 14%         Single +2.8% 0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.2% +0.3% 3%         Home Run -2.1% +0.1%

      History

      No History in the last 3 years