Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Dominic Fletcher

matchup for Michael Wacha

288th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

Michael Wacha

matchup for D. Fletcher

165th out of 567 (Best 30%)

Moderate advantage for Fletcher

Dominic Fletcher has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.9% higher than Fletcher's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Wacha.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.2%	25.4%	2.3%	6.0%	17.2%	5.8%	17.8%
Fletcher	+0.9	+2.0	+0.2	+0.7	+1.1	-1.1	-4.2
Wacha	+0.0	+2.3	-0.5	+0.9	+1.9	-2.3	-3.5

Dominic Fletcher is better vs right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Fletcher has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Dominic Fletcher hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Changeup (R)

32%

4-Seam (R)

31%

Cutter (R)

17%

Sinker (R)

11%

Curve (R)

8% of Michael Wacha's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Dominic Fletcher hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Strong Challenge 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

32% of Michael Wacha's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Dominic Fletcher hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (R) 32%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+11%

High Ride 19%

+9%

16.5% of Dominic Fletcher's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -0.5% +0.4% 6%

Walk -3.5% -2.0% 45%

In Play +4.0% +1.5% 39%

On Base +0.4% -3.0% 31%

Hit +3.9% -1.0% 14%

Single +2.8% -0.6% 13%

2B / 3B +3.2% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -2.1% +0.1%

36.4% of Dominic Fletcher's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Michael Wacha induces Standard Grounders at a 33.6% rate, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.9% -0.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.8% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer +3.5% +1.5% 9%

Rising Liner -4.0% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.6% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% 0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.0% -1.8% 3%

Pop up +2.5% +0.6%

11.3% of Dominic Fletcher's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.0% lower than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by Michael Wacha are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +11.6% +0.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -5.5% +0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +11.0% -0.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.2% -2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -13.0% +2.6%

7.3% of Dominic Fletcher's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.1% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Michael Wacha are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.4% -2.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.5% +1.7% 8%

1 to 6° -3.2% -0.8% 18%

7 to 18° +0.3% +2.8% 15%

19 to 28° +13.0% +0.9% 11%

29 to 38° -4.1% -0.7% 7%

39 to 50° -3.4% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° -1.6% +0.6%

Dominic Fletcher has 8 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 8 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	8	2	0	0	2	2	0	0.250
Expected From Contact →			1.96	0.08	0.31	1.57			0.245

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-30	Single			73%	27%
2024-07-30	Pop Out				100%
2024-07-30	Strikeout
2024-04-17	Single		20%	65%	15%
2024-04-17	Groundout				99%
2024-04-17	Flyout	8%	10%		82%
2024-04-06	GIDP			19%	81%
2024-04-06	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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