Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Dominic Fletcher

matchup for Aaron Nola

235th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for D. Fletcher

356th out of 567 (Worst 37%)

Leans in favor of Nola

Dominic Fletcher has a 28.9% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.4% lower than Fletcher's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.9%	24.0%	2.5%	7.0%	14.6%	4.9%	29.1%
Fletcher	-1.4	+0.6	+0.4	+1.7	-1.5	-2.0	+7.1
Nola	-0.6	+1.6	-0.5	+0.7	+1.4	-2.2	-1.8

Dominic Fletcher is better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Fletcher has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Dominic Fletcher hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Dominic Fletcher hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Dominic Fletcher hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

16.5% of Dominic Fletcher's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -0.5% +6.3% 6%

Walk -3.5% -2.8% 45%

In Play +4.0% -3.5% 39%

On Base +0.4% -4.8% 31%

Hit +3.9% -2.0% 14%

Single +2.8% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +3.2% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -2.1% -0.5%

36.4% of Dominic Fletcher's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.9% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.8% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +3.5% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -4.0% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.6% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.0% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +2.5% -0.7%

11.3% of Dominic Fletcher's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.0% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +11.6% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -5.5% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +11.0% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.2% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -13.0% -0.7%

7.3% of Dominic Fletcher's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.1% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%