Matchup Machine

Tyler Fitzgerald

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matchup for C. Hernandez

16th out of 436 (Best 4%)

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Carlos Hernandez

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matchup for T. Fitzgerald

337th out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Strong advantage for Hernandez
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Model Prediction

Tyler Fitzgerald has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 1.0% lower than Fitzgerald's typical expectations, and 5.2% lower than batters facing Hernandez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.0%18.5%2.8%5.0%10.8%8.5%33.2%
Fitzgerald-1.0-1.8+0.2+0.2-2.1+0.8+0.4
Hernandez-5.2-3.0-0.3-0.9-1.8-2.2+9.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Fitzgerald is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fitzgerald has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Tyler Fitzgerald has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Kn-Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

21.7% of Tyler Fitzgerald's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.3% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +8.3% -1.8% 5%         Walk -1.7% +2.0% 46%         In Play -6.6% -0.2% 39%         On Base -3.6% +0.9% 31%         Hit -1.9% -1.1% 14%         Single -1.8% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.3% +0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years