Tyler Fitzgerald has a 21.9% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Greene, which is 5.0% lower than Fitzgerald's typical expectations, and 5.0% lower than batters facing Greene.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 21.9% | 14.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 44.1% |
Fitzgerald | -5.0 | -5.2 | -0.1 | -1.4 | -3.7 | +0.2 | +8.2 |
Greene | -5.0 | -2.9 | -0.2 | -0.6 | -2.1 | -2.1 | +11.6 |
Tyler Fitzgerald is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Greene is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Fitzgerald has an F grade vs this particular release point.
Hunter Greene throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Tyler Fitzgerald has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers
22.4% of Tyler Fitzgerald's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. Hunter Greene strikes out 19.5% of the batters he faces, which is 7.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Tyler Fitzgerald has 4 plate appearances against Hunter Greene in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with 3 strikeouts.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2025-03-27 | Strikeout | ||||
2025-03-27 | Flyout | ||||
2024-08-03 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-08-03 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.