Matchup Machine

Tyler Fitzgerald

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matchup for Hunter Greene

22nd out of 436 (Best 6%)

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Hunter Greene

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matchup for T. Fitzgerald

518th out of 567 (Worst 9%)

Extreme advantage for Greene
10

Model Prediction

Tyler Fitzgerald has a 21.9% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Greene, which is 5.0% lower than Fitzgerald's typical expectations, and 5.0% lower than batters facing Greene.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction21.9%14.1%2.7%3.2%8.2%7.8%44.1%
Fitzgerald-5.0-5.2-0.1-1.4-3.7+0.2+8.2
Greene-5.0-2.9-0.2-0.6-2.1-2.1+11.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Fitzgerald is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Greene is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Fitzgerald has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Hunter Greene throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Tyler Fitzgerald has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Slider (R)
38%

Contact and Outcomes

22.4% of Tyler Fitzgerald's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. Hunter Greene strikes out 19.5% of the batters he faces, which is 7.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +9.1% +7.7% 5%         Walk -1.5% +0.5% 47%         In Play -7.7% -8.2% 39%         On Base -3.9% -6.1% 31%         Hit -2.4% -6.6% 14%         Single -2.1% -3.2% 13%         2B / 3B -1.7% -3.1% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -0.3%

History

Tyler Fitzgerald has 4 plate appearances against Hunter Greene in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual440000300.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Strikeout
2025-03-27Flyout
2024-08-03Strikeout
2024-08-03Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.