Matchup Machine

Tyler Fitzgerald

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matchup for Cole Winn

67th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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Cole Winn

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matchup for T. Fitzgerald

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Fitzgerald
2

Model Prediction

Tyler Fitzgerald has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Cole Winn, which is 4.0% higher than Fitzgerald's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Winn.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%23.0%2.7%6.2%14.2%9.0%29.4%
Fitzgerald+4.0+2.8+0.1+1.4+1.3+1.2-3.4
Winn-2.3-1.7-0.1+0.2-1.8-0.6+8.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Fitzgerald is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Cole Winn is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Fitzgerald does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Cole Winn throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Tyler Fitzgerald has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
41%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Splitter (R)
18%
   Sinker (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

21.7% of Tyler Fitzgerald's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.3% higher than the league average. Cole Winn strikes out 11.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +8.3% -4.3% 5%         Walk -1.7% -3.6% 46%         In Play -6.6% +7.9% 39%         On Base -3.6% +6.4% 31%         Hit -1.9% +10.0% 14%         Single -1.8% +5.6% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% +6.0% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -1.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years