Matchup Machine

Tyler Fitzgerald

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matchup for Alex Speas

45th out of 436 (Best 11%)

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Alex Speas

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matchup for T. Fitzgerald

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Speas
3

Model Prediction

Tyler Fitzgerald has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 2.6% higher than Fitzgerald's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Speas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.6%20.5%2.3%5.3%12.9%10.1%35.3%
Fitzgerald+2.6+0.2-0.2+0.50.0+2.4+2.5
Speas-3.3-0.6-0.2+0.2-0.6-2.7+10.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Fitzgerald is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Fitzgerald does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Tyler Fitzgerald hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
77%
   4-Seam (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

21.7% of Tyler Fitzgerald's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.3% higher than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +8.3% +19.9% 5%         Walk -1.7% -0.6% 46%         In Play -6.6% -19.3% 39%         On Base -3.6% -8.2% 31%         Hit -1.9% -7.6% 14%         Single -1.8% -5.7% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -5.2% 3%         Home Run +1.3% +3.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years