Matchup Machine

Tyler Fitzgerald

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matchup for Griffin Canning

11st out of 436 (Best 3%)

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Griffin Canning

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matchup for T. Fitzgerald

357th out of 567 (Worst 37%)

Strong advantage for Canning
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Model Prediction

Tyler Fitzgerald has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Griffin Canning, which is 0.6% lower than Fitzgerald's typical expectations, and 5.8% lower than batters facing Canning.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.4%19.2%2.4%4.1%12.7%8.2%32.4%
Fitzgerald-0.6-1.1-0.1-0.7-0.2+0.5-0.4
Canning-5.8-2.5-0.4-0.9-1.3-3.2+10.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Fitzgerald is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Griffin Canning is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fitzgerald has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Griffin Canning throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Tyler Fitzgerald has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
39%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
21%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

21.7% of Tyler Fitzgerald's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.3% higher than the league average. Griffin Canning strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +8.3% -1.9% 5%         Walk -1.7% +0.3% 46%         In Play -6.6% +1.6% 39%         On Base -3.6% -0.8% 31%         Hit -1.9% -1.1% 14%         Single -1.8% -0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.3% +0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years