Matchup Machine

Tyler Fitzgerald

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matchup for Jalen Beeks

52nd out of 436 (Best 13%)

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Jalen Beeks

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matchup for T. Fitzgerald

144th out of 567 (Best 26%)

Leans in favor of Beeks
1

Model Prediction

Tyler Fitzgerald has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 1.7% higher than Fitzgerald's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Beeks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.7%22.3%2.6%4.6%15.0%7.5%24.4%
Fitzgerald+1.7+2.0+0.1-0.2+2.2-0.3-8.4
Beeks-3.7-1.8+0.1-0.3-1.7-1.9+6.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Fitzgerald is much better vs left-handed pitching. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fitzgerald doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Tyler Fitzgerald hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Changeup (L)
34%
   Cutter (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

21.7% of Tyler Fitzgerald's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.3% higher than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +8.3% -2.5% 5%         Walk -1.7% -0.1% 46%         In Play -6.6% +2.6% 39%         On Base -3.6% +0.4% 31%         Hit -1.9% +0.5% 14%         Single -1.8% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -1.3%

History

Tyler Fitzgerald has 1 plate appearance against Jalen Beeks in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-09Groundout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.