Matchup Machine

Tyler Fitzgerald

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matchup for Jose Berrios

34th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Jose Berrios

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matchup for T. Fitzgerald

222nd out of 567 (Best 40%)

Moderate advantage for Berrios
3

Model Prediction

Tyler Fitzgerald has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 1.2% higher than Fitzgerald's typical expectations, and 3.2% lower than batters facing Berrios.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.2%21.7%2.6%4.7%14.4%7.5%29.7%
Fitzgerald+1.2+1.40.0-0.1+1.5-0.2-3.1
Berrios-3.2-3.1-0.3-0.5-2.2-0.1+7.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Fitzgerald is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Fitzgerald does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Tyler Fitzgerald hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
30%
   Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

21.7% of Tyler Fitzgerald's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.3% higher than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +8.3% +0.7% 5%         Walk -1.7% -0.8% 46%         In Play -6.6% +0.1% 39%         On Base -3.6% -0.3% 31%         Hit -1.9% +0.6% 14%         Single -1.8% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% +0.4% 3%         Home Run +1.3% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years