Matchup Machine

Tyler Fitzgerald

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matchup for John Means

48th out of 436 (Best 12%)

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John Means

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matchup for T. Fitzgerald

156th out of 567 (Best 28%)

Leans in favor of Means
2

Model Prediction

Tyler Fitzgerald has a 27.6% chance of reaching base vs John Means, which is 0.5% higher than Fitzgerald's typical expectations, and 3.4% lower than batters facing Means.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.6%21.9%3.2%6.8%11.9%5.7%28.3%
Fitzgerald-0.5+1.6+0.6+2.0-1.0-2.1-4.5
Means-3.4-2.2-0.2+0.3-2.2-1.2+7.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Fitzgerald is much better vs left-handed pitching. John Means is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fitzgerald doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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John Means throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Tyler Fitzgerald hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
49%
   Changeup (L)
28%
   Slider (L)
12%
   Curve (L)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

21.7% of Tyler Fitzgerald's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.3% higher than the league average. John Means strikes out 14.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +8.3% -0.2% 5%         Walk -1.7% -2.7% 46%         In Play -6.6% +2.9% 39%         On Base -3.6% -4.8% 31%         Hit -1.9% -2.0% 14%         Single -1.8% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +1.3% +0.5%

History

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