Matchup Machine

Tyler Fitzgerald

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matchup for Aaron Nola

11st out of 436 (Best 3%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for T. Fitzgerald

498th out of 567 (Worst 12%)

Extreme advantage for Nola
9

Model Prediction

Tyler Fitzgerald has a 24.2% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 3.8% lower than Fitzgerald's typical expectations, and 5.3% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.2%18.6%2.3%5.2%11.1%5.6%42.9%
Fitzgerald-3.8-1.7-0.3+0.4-1.8-2.1+10.2
Nola-5.3-3.8-0.7-1.0-2.1-1.5+12.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Fitzgerald is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Fitzgerald does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Tyler Fitzgerald hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

21.7% of Tyler Fitzgerald's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.3% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +8.3% +6.3% 5%         Walk -1.7% -2.8% 46%         In Play -6.6% -3.5% 39%         On Base -3.6% -4.8% 31%         Hit -1.9% -2.0% 14%         Single -1.8% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years