Matchup Machine

Tyler Fitzgerald

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matchup for Caleb Thielbar

50th out of 436 (Best 12%)

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Caleb Thielbar

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matchup for T. Fitzgerald

295th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Moderate advantage for Thielbar
5

Model Prediction

Tyler Fitzgerald has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 0.2% higher than Fitzgerald's typical expectations, and 4.0% lower than batters facing Thielbar.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.9%18.8%3.3%5.0%10.5%9.0%36.9%
Fitzgerald-0.2-1.4+0.7+0.2-2.4+1.3+4.1
Thielbar-4.0-3.0+0.0-0.1-2.9-1.0+8.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Fitzgerald is much better vs left-handed pitching. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fitzgerald doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Tyler Fitzgerald hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
49%
   Slider (L)
29%
   Curve (L)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

21.7% of Tyler Fitzgerald's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.3% higher than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +8.3% +5.2% 5%         Walk -1.7% +1.9% 46%         In Play -6.6% -7.1% 39%         On Base -3.6% -6.1% 31%         Hit -1.9% -8.0% 14%         Single -1.8% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -3.9% 3%         Home Run +1.3% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years