Matchup Machine

Tyler Fitzgerald

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

10th out of 436 (Best 3%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for T. Fitzgerald

83rd out of 567 (Best 15%)

Leans in favor of Fitzgerald
2

Model Prediction

Tyler Fitzgerald has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 3.8% higher than Fitzgerald's typical expectations, and 5.9% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.8%25.0%2.6%5.5%16.9%6.7%27.8%
Fitzgerald+3.8+4.8+0.1+0.7+4.0-1.0-5.0
Stroman-5.9-3.8-0.1-0.3-3.4-2.0+9.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Fitzgerald is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fitzgerald doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Tyler Fitzgerald hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

21.7% of Tyler Fitzgerald's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.3% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +8.3% -3.1% 5%         Walk -1.7% -0.8% 46%         In Play -6.6% +3.9% 39%         On Base -3.6% +3.0% 31%         Hit -1.9% +3.8% 14%         Single -1.8% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% +2.4% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -1.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years