Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Kirilloff

matchup for Bryce Miller

63rd out of 436 (Best 15%)

Bryce Miller

matchup for Alex Kirilloff

504th out of 567 (Worst 11%)

Strong advantage for Miller

Alex Kirilloff has a 25.6% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 2.9% lower than Kirilloff's typical expectations, and 3.6% lower than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.6%	18.3%	2.7%	3.6%	12.0%	7.3%	36.6%
Kirilloff	-2.9	-2.4	-0.4	-1.2	-0.8	-0.5	+7.7
Miller	-3.6	-2.1	+0.4	-0.8	-1.7	-1.5	+6.8

Alex Kirilloff is better vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kirilloff has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Alex Kirilloff has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

20%

Sinker (R)

13%

Splitter (R)

10%

8% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

43% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 43%

+28%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Small Break 21%

+13%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

15.9% of Alex Kirilloff's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% +0.2% 4%

Walk +0.6% -2.5% 41%

In Play -2.7% +2.3% 39%

On Base -2.6% -3.2% 31%

Hit -3.2% -0.7% 14%

Single -2.4% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% -0.4% 3%

Home Run +1.0% +0.5%

40.7% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 30.4% rate, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.3% -4.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.7% +2.0% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.5% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +2.3% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.3% +5.4% 3%

Pop up -2.0% -0.9%

21.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 25.8% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.2% -2.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.7% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.1% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.8% +1.5%

20.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at this angle, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%