Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Kirilloff

matchup for Ryan Weathers

92nd out of 436 (Best 22%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Alex Kirilloff

415th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Strong advantage for Weathers

Alex Kirilloff has a 26.5% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.0% lower than Kirilloff's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.5%	19.7%	2.3%	5.7%	11.7%	6.9%	30.2%
Kirilloff	-2.0	-1.0	-0.8	+0.9	-1.1	-0.9	+1.3
Weathers	-3.3	-1.9	+0.2	+0.2	-2.2	-1.5	+5.5

Alex Kirilloff is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Kirilloff doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Alex Kirilloff has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

15.9% of Alex Kirilloff's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% -2.1% 4%

Walk +0.6% -0.6% 41%

In Play -2.7% +2.7% 39%

On Base -2.6% +0.9% 31%

Hit -3.2% +1.5% 14%

Single -2.4% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +1.2% 3%

Home Run +1.0% -0.5%

40.7% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.3% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.7% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.5% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +2.3% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.3% -5.5% 3%

Pop up -2.0% +1.2%

21.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.2% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.7% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.1% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.8% +1.1%

20.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%