Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Kirilloff

matchup for Cole Winn

83rd out of 436 (Best 20%)

Cole Winn

matchup for Alex Kirilloff

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Kirilloff

Alex Kirilloff has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Cole Winn, which is 2.5% higher than Kirilloff's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Winn.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.0%	22.1%	3.3%	5.9%	12.9%	8.9%	27.1%
Kirilloff	+2.5	+1.4	+0.2	+1.1	+0.0	+1.1	-1.8
Winn	-3.3	-2.7	+0.6	-0.1	-3.1	-0.7	+5.9

Alex Kirilloff is better vs right-handed pitching. Cole Winn is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Kirilloff has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Cole Winn throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Alex Kirilloff has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

41%

Slider (R)

27%

Splitter (R)

18%

Sinker (R)

15% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 13%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

37% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 37%

+17%

Medium Slow Velo 29%

+16%

Small Drop 22%

+9%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+9%

15.9% of Alex Kirilloff's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Cole Winn strikes out 11.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% -4.3% 4%

Walk +0.6% -3.6% 41%

In Play -2.7% +7.9% 39%

On Base -2.6% +6.4% 31%

Hit -3.2% +10.0% 14%

Single -2.4% +5.6% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +6.0% 3%

Home Run +1.0% -1.5%

40.7% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Cole Winn induces Standard Grounders at a 32.7% rate, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.3% -1.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.7% -0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +2.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% -3.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.5% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +2.3% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.3% +5.0% 3%

Pop up -2.0% -1.3%

21.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.2% -6.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.7% +6.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.1% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.8% -0.7%

20.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. 8.0% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%