Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Kirilloff

matchup for Cole Ragans

86th out of 436 (Best 20%)

Cole Ragans

matchup for Alex Kirilloff

459th out of 567 (Worst 19%)

Strong advantage for Ragans

Alex Kirilloff has a 26.6% chance of reaching base vs Cole Ragans, which is 2.0% lower than Kirilloff's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Ragans.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.6%	16.6%	2.8%	4.1%	9.7%	10.0%	34.2%
Kirilloff	-2.0	-4.2	-0.3	-0.7	-3.1	+2.2	+5.3
Ragans	-3.5	-1.7	+0.5	-0.4	-1.7	-1.8	+4.9

Alex Kirilloff is worse vs left-handed pitching. Cole Ragans is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kirilloff has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Cole Ragans throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Alex Kirilloff has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

42%

Changeup (L)

24%

Cutter (L)

13%

Slider (L)

10%

Kn-Curve (L)

21% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

43% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

Offspeed (L) 24%

+12%

Very Fast Velo 14%

+11%

High Ride 20%

+10%

15.9% of Alex Kirilloff's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Cole Ragans strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% +4.5% 4%

Walk +0.6% +1.2% 41%

In Play -2.7% -5.8% 39%

On Base -2.6% -1.8% 31%

Hit -3.2% -3.0% 14%

Single -2.4% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% -1.2% 3%

Home Run +1.0% -0.2%

40.7% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Cole Ragans induces Standard Grounders at a 31.0% rate, which is 3.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +2.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.3% -3.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.7% +2.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.5% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer +2.3% -2.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.3% -2.2% 3%

Pop up -2.0% +2.0%

21.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 17.3% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.2% +3.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.7% -0.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% +5.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.1% -1.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.8% -7.0%

20.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. 9.6% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at this angle, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%