Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Kirilloff

matchup for Chris Paddack

100th out of 436 (Best 24%)

Chris Paddack

matchup for Alex Kirilloff

260th out of 567 (Best 47%)

Leans in favor of Paddack

Alex Kirilloff has a 27.8% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 0.7% lower than Kirilloff's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Paddack.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.8%	22.0%	3.6%	5.2%	13.1%	5.9%	27.1%
Kirilloff	-0.7	+1.2	+0.5	+0.4	+0.3	-1.9	-1.8
Paddack	-2.4	-1.8	+0.3	-0.4	-1.6	-0.6	+4.8

Alex Kirilloff is better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Kirilloff has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Alex Kirilloff has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Changeup (R)

28%

Curve (R)

12%

14% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

43% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Offspeed (R) 28%

+16%

Fast Velo 26%

+10%

15.9% of Alex Kirilloff's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% +4.3% 4%

Walk +0.6% -3.2% 41%

In Play -2.7% -1.1% 39%

On Base -2.6% -3.8% 31%

Hit -3.2% -0.6% 14%

Single -2.4% -0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% -0.1% 3%

Home Run +1.0% +0.0%

40.7% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack induces Standard Grounders at a 29.0% rate, which is 5.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.3% -5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.7% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +0.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.5% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +2.3% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.3% +0.3% 3%

Pop up -2.0% +0.3%

21.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 30.1% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.2% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.7% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.1% +0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.8% +5.8%

20.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%