Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Kirilloff

matchup for Brad Keller

94th out of 436 (Best 22%)

Brad Keller

matchup for Alex Kirilloff

185th out of 567 (Best 33%)

Leans in favor of Kirilloff

Alex Kirilloff has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Brad Keller, which is 1.6% higher than Kirilloff's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Keller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.2%	20.9%	3.1%	4.7%	13.2%	9.2%	24.0%
Kirilloff	+1.6	+0.2	0.0	-0.1	+0.3	+1.4	-4.9
Keller	-2.6	-1.8	+0.1	-0.3	-1.6	-0.8	+4.2

Alex Kirilloff is better vs right-handed pitching. Brad Keller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kirilloff has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Brad Keller throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Alex Kirilloff has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

34%

Sinker (R)

16%

13% of Brad Keller's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+4%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Mid Challenge 10%

-2%

Meatball 5%

-2%

39% of Brad Keller's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 39%

+16%

Small Break 25%

+14%

Medium Fast Velo 27%

+12%

15.9% of Alex Kirilloff's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Brad Keller strikes out 11.7% of the batters he faces, which is 5.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% -5.3% 4%

Walk +0.6% +0.7% 41%

In Play -2.7% +4.6% 39%

On Base -2.6% +4.5% 31%

Hit -3.2% +3.8% 14%

Single -2.4% +2.0% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +2.3% 3%

Home Run +1.0% -0.5%

40.7% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Brad Keller induces Standard Grounders at a 42.2% rate, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.3% +7.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.7% +0.8% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% -3.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.5% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +2.3% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.3% -4.3% 3%

Pop up -2.0% -1.6%

21.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Brad Keller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.2% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.7% +1.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% -2.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.1% -0.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.8% +1.1%

20.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. 9.4% of batted balls allowed by Brad Keller are hit at this angle, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%