Matchup Machine

Alex Kirilloff

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matchup for Yusei Kikuchi

89th out of 436 (Best 21%)

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Yusei Kikuchi

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matchup for Alex Kirilloff

515th out of 567 (Worst 9%)

Strong advantage for Kikuchi
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Model Prediction

Alex Kirilloff has a 24.0% chance of reaching base vs Yusei Kikuchi, which is 4.6% lower than Kirilloff's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Kikuchi.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.0%18.6%2.6%4.4%11.6%5.4%36.1%
Kirilloff-4.6-2.1-0.6-0.3-1.2-2.4+7.2
Kikuchi-2.6-2.0-0.1-0.3-1.5-0.7+6.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Alex Kirilloff is worse vs left-handed pitching. Yusei Kikuchi is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Kirilloff doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yusei Kikuchi throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Alex Kirilloff has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
24%
   Changeup (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
11%
   Cutter (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

15.9% of Alex Kirilloff's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.1% +4.3% 4%         Walk +0.6% -1.4% 41%         In Play -2.7% -2.8% 39%         On Base -2.6% -0.9% 31%         Hit -3.2% +0.5% 14%         Single -2.4% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% +0.3% 3%         Home Run +1.0% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years