Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Kirilloff

matchup for Martin Perez

43rd out of 436 (Best 11%)

Martin Perez

matchup for Alex Kirilloff

124th out of 567 (Best 23%)

Moderate advantage for Kirilloff

Alex Kirilloff has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 2.4% higher than Kirilloff's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Perez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.9%	23.1%	3.2%	4.8%	15.1%	7.9%	21.9%
Kirilloff	+2.4	+2.3	+0.0	+0.1	+2.2	+0.1	-7.0
Perez	-3.7	-2.3	+0.1	-0.5	-1.8	-1.4	+3.5

Alex Kirilloff is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kirilloff doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Alex Kirilloff hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

34%

Changeup (L)

25%

Cutter (L)

25%

4-Seam (L)

Curve (L)

22% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 15%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

62% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 38% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 62%

+38%

Extreme Break 34%

+19%

Offspeed (L) 25%

+13%

Fastball (L) 67%

+12%

Medium Velo 24%

+10%

15.9% of Alex Kirilloff's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% -6.1% 4%

Walk +0.6% -0.3% 41%

In Play -2.7% +6.4% 39%

On Base -2.6% +5.9% 31%

Hit -3.2% +6.3% 14%

Single -2.4% +3.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +3.3% 3%

Home Run +1.0% -0.6%

40.7% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Martin Perez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.9% rate, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.3% +4.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.7% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +0.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% +0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.5% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +2.3% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.3% -3.7% 3%

Pop up -2.0% -0.9%

21.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 25.2% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.2% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.7% +2.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.1% -2.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.8% +0.9%

20.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%