Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Kirilloff

matchup for Jose Quintana

53rd out of 436 (Best 13%)

Jose Quintana

matchup for Alex Kirilloff

324th out of 567 (Worst 43%)

Moderate advantage for Quintana

Alex Kirilloff has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Jose Quintana, which is 0.2% higher than Kirilloff's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Quintana.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.7%	19.9%	2.2%	4.8%	12.9%	8.8%	25.6%
Kirilloff	+0.2	-0.8	-0.9	+0.0	+0.0	+1.1	-3.3
Quintana	-3.5	-2.1	+0.1	-0.3	-1.9	-1.4	+4.5

Alex Kirilloff is worse vs left-handed pitching. Jose Quintana is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Kirilloff doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Jose Quintana throws a 4-seam fastball 31% of the time. Alex Kirilloff has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

31%

Curve (L)

28%

Sinker (L)

24%

Changeup (L)

17%

23% of Jose Quintana's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+3%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

37% of Jose Quintana's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Alex Kirilloff has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Velo 37%

+22%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

Small Break 17%

+9%

15.9% of Alex Kirilloff's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Jose Quintana strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% +0.4% 4%

Walk +0.6% -1.1% 41%

In Play -2.7% +0.7% 39%

On Base -2.6% +1.3% 31%

Hit -3.2% +2.5% 14%

Single -2.4% +1.8% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +1.4% 3%

Home Run +1.0% -0.8%

40.7% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Jose Quintana induces Standard Grounders at a 34.9% rate, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.3% +0.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.7% +2.1% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% 0.0% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.5% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +2.3% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.3% +0.0% 3%

Pop up -2.0% -0.8%

21.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 22.2% of batted balls allowed by Jose Quintana are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.2% -0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.7% 0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.2% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.1% +2.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.8% -2.1%

20.5% of Alex Kirilloff's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. 10.0% of batted balls allowed by Jose Quintana are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%