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Nolan Jones

matchup for Brandon Pfaadt

220th out of 436 (Best 51%)

Brandon Pfaadt

matchup for Nolan Jones

283rd out of 567 (Best 51%)

Leans in favor of Jones

Nolan Jones has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Brandon Pfaadt, which is 0.9% higher than Jones's typical expectations, and 1.6% higher than batters facing Pfaadt.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.0%	22.4%	2.4%	4.9%	15.1%	11.6%	31.5%
Jones	+0.9	+2.3	+0.4	+0.2	+1.6	-1.4	+4.0
Pfaadt	+1.6	-2.1	-0.7	-0.4	-1.0	+3.7	+2.4

Nolan Jones is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Brandon Pfaadt is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Jones has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Brandon Pfaadt throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Nolan Jones has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

12%

Curve (R)

19% of Brandon Pfaadt's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Nolan Jones has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Weak Challenge 8%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

29% of Brandon Pfaadt's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Nolan Jones has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 29%

+15%

Medium Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Large Break 15%

+10%

17.7% of Nolan Jones's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.2% +1.2% 2%

Walk +4.5% -2.4% 44%

In Play -9.8% +1.2% 39%

On Base +2.6% -0.1% 31%

Hit -1.9% +2.4% 14%

Single -1.2% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +0.9% 3%

Home Run +0.0% +1.0%

36.0% of Nolan Jones's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt induces Standard Grounders at a 32.0% rate, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.6% -2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -5.6% +2.6% 9%

Rising Liner +5.2% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +2.9% +0.8% 1%

No Doubter +1.1% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.3% +0.9% 3%

Pop up -0.9% -1.0%

30.1% of Nolan Jones's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.8% higher than the league average. 29.1% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Pfaadt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -6.3% -5.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.1% +5.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +5.5% -4.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.8% +4.8%

6.7% of Nolan Jones's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Pfaadt are hit at this angle, which is 3.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +4.3% -3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.1% +5.5% 8%

1 to 6° -1.0% -1.5% 18%

7 to 18° +4.2% -2.0% 15%

19 to 28° +2.0% +3.9% 11%

29 to 38° -4.8% -3.7% 7%

39 to 50° +2.2% -0.9% 8%

Above 50° -4.9% +2.4%

Nolan Jones has 5 plate appearances against Brandon Pfaadt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a double and a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	4	1	0	1	0	2	1	0.250
Expected From Contact →			0.59	0.26	0.31	0.01			0.147

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-03-31	Strikeout
2024-03-31	Pop Out				100%
2024-03-31	Strikeout
2023-09-05	Double	26%	31%	1%	41%
2023-09-05	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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