Matchup Machine

Nolan Jones

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matchup for Bryce Miller

128th out of 436 (Best 30%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Nolan Jones

508th out of 567 (Worst 11%)

Strong advantage for Miller
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Model Prediction

Nolan Jones has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 3.9% lower than Jones's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.2%18.3%1.6%4.2%12.4%10.9%35.6%
Jones-3.9-1.8-0.4-0.4-1.0-2.1+8.1
Miller-0.1-2.2-0.7-0.1-1.3+2.1+5.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Nolan Jones is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jones has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Nolan Jones has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

17.7% of Nolan Jones's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.2% +0.2% 2%         Walk +4.5% -2.5% 44%         In Play -9.8% +2.3% 39%         On Base +2.6% -3.2% 31%         Hit -1.9% -0.7% 14%         Single -1.2% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +0.0% +0.5%

History

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