Nolan Jones has a 35.7% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.6% higher than Jones's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Anderson.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 35.7% | 18.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 26.6% |
Jones | +2.6 | -1.3 | +0.1 | -0.6 | -0.8 | +3.9 | -0.9 |
Anderson | +1.9 | -3.4 | -0.8 | -1.1 | -1.5 | +5.3 | +5.0 |
Nolan Jones is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jones doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Nolan Jones has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers
17.7% of Nolan Jones's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Nolan Jones has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.038 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-06-25 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-06-25 | Forceout | 11% | 88% | ||
2023-06-25 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.