Matchup Machine

Freddy Fermin

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matchup for Daniel Palencia

113th out of 436 (Best 27%)

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Daniel Palencia

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matchup for Freddy Fermin

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Palencia
2

Model Prediction

Freddy Fermin has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 2.2% higher than Fermin's typical expectations, and 2.8% lower than batters facing Palencia.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%20.9%1.5%4.2%15.2%11.1%24.9%
Fermin+2.2-2.20.0-0.8-1.4+4.4+4.1
Palencia-2.8+1.4-0.9+0.3+1.9-4.2-2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Freddy Fermin is worse vs right-handed pitching. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Fermin has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Freddy Fermin has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
61%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Freddy Fermin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% +4.4% 5%         Walk -2.4% +3.4% 36%         In Play +7.9% -7.8% 39%         On Base +4.8% -0.7% 31%         Hit +7.2% -4.2% 14%         Single +3.9% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +4.5% -1.6% 3%         Home Run -1.1% -0.6%

History

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