Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Freddy Fermin

matchup for Bryce Miller

221st out of 436 (Best 51%)

Bryce Miller

matchup for Freddy Fermin

431st out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Moderate advantage for Miller

Freddy Fermin has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 1.3% lower than Fermin's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.5%	22.0%	1.6%	4.6%	15.7%	6.5%	25.7%
Fermin	-1.3	-1.1	+0.1	-0.4	-0.8	-0.2	+4.8
Miller	-0.8	+1.5	-0.7	+0.2	+2.0	-2.3	-4.2

Freddy Fermin is worse vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fermin has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Freddy Fermin has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

20%

Sinker (R)

13%

Splitter (R)

10%

8% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Freddy Fermin hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

43% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Freddy Fermin has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 43%

+28%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Small Break 21%

+13%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

11.3% of Freddy Fermin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.5% +0.2% 5%

Walk -2.4% -2.5% 36%

In Play +7.9% +2.3% 39%

On Base +4.8% -3.2% 31%

Hit +7.2% -0.7% 14%

Single +3.9% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +4.5% -0.4% 3%

Home Run -1.1% +0.5%

36.1% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 30.4% rate, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.4% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.6% -4.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.1% +2.0% 14%

Low Screamer -1.2% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -2.7% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.4% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.7% +5.4% 3%

Pop up +0.9% -0.9%

19.3% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. 25.8% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.6% -2.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.1% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.5% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.0% +1.5%

11.0% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at this angle, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%