Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Freddy Fermin

matchup for Ryan Weathers

169th out of 436 (Best 40%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Freddy Fermin

392nd out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Weathers

Freddy Fermin has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.4% lower than Fermin's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.3%	22.8%	1.0%	5.2%	16.5%	5.6%	19.1%
Fermin	-1.4	-0.3	-0.5	+0.2	-0.1	-1.1	-1.8
Weathers	-1.5	+1.2	-1.0	-0.4	+2.6	-2.8	-5.7

Freddy Fermin is better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Fermin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Freddy Fermin has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Freddy Fermin has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Freddy Fermin has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

11.3% of Freddy Fermin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.5% -2.1% 5%

Walk -2.4% -0.6% 36%

In Play +7.9% +2.7% 39%

On Base +4.8% +0.9% 31%

Hit +7.2% +1.5% 14%

Single +3.9% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +4.5% +1.2% 3%

Home Run -1.1% -0.5%

36.1% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.4% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.6% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.1% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.2% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -2.7% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.4% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.7% -5.5% 3%

Pop up +0.9% +1.2%

19.3% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.6% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.1% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.5% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.0% +1.1%

11.0% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%