Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Freddy Fermin

matchup for Andrew Abbott

39th out of 436 (Best 10%)

Andrew Abbott

matchup for Freddy Fermin

347th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Moderate advantage for Abbott

Freddy Fermin has a 28.9% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Abbott, which is 0.9% lower than Fermin's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Abbott.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.9%	21.5%	1.5%	4.9%	15.1%	7.4%	19.0%
Fermin	-0.9	-1.5	+0.0	-0.1	-1.4	+0.6	-1.8
Abbott	-3.1	0.0	-1.7	-0.4	+2.1	-3.1	-3.2

Freddy Fermin is better vs left-handed pitching. Andrew Abbott is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Fermin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Andrew Abbott throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Freddy Fermin has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

52%

Slider (L)

18%

Changeup (L)

16%

Curve (L)

14%

8% of Andrew Abbott's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Freddy Fermin hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 5%

Chaser 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

40% of Andrew Abbott's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Freddy Fermin has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 40%

+24%

Medium Break 37%

+18%

Medium Ride 32%

+18%

11.3% of Freddy Fermin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Andrew Abbott strikes out 13.8% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.5% -1.6% 5%

Walk -2.4% +0.9% 36%

In Play +7.9% +0.7% 39%

On Base +4.8% -1.6% 31%

Hit +7.2% -2.5% 14%

Single +3.9% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B +4.5% -1.1% 3%

Home Run -1.1% +0.2%

36.1% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Andrew Abbott induces Standard Grounders at a 27.7% rate, which is 6.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.4% -0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.6% -6.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.1% -2.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.2% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -2.7% -2.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.4% +2.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% +1.5% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.7% +7.0% 3%

Pop up +0.9% +4.8%

19.3% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. 20.6% of batted balls allowed by Andrew Abbott are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.6% 0.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.1% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.5% +2.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% +3.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.0% -3.7%

11.0% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 9.6% of batted balls allowed by Andrew Abbott are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.4% -7.5% 12%

-10 to 0° +4.6% -3.3% 8%

1 to 6° +0.8% +1.1% 18%

7 to 18° -2.6% -5.1% 15%

19 to 28° -0.5% +6.1% 11%

29 to 38° -0.4% -1.9% 7%

39 to 50° -4.2% +2.9% 8%

Above 50° +1.9% +7.8%

Freddy Fermin has 2 plate appearances against Andrew Abbott in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.06	0.00	0.00	0.06			0.032

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-18	Groundout			6%	94%
2024-08-18	Pop Out				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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