Matchup Machine

Freddy Fermin

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matchup for Brady Basso

70th out of 436 (Best 17%)

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Brady Basso

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matchup for Freddy Fermin

156th out of 567 (Best 28%)

Leans in favor of Fermin
2

Model Prediction

Freddy Fermin has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Brady Basso, which is 1.7% higher than Fermin's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Basso.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%26.0%1.4%5.4%19.2%5.5%16.9%
Fermin+1.7+2.9-0.1+0.4+2.6-1.3-3.9
Basso-2.1+1.3-1.7+0.2+2.8-3.4-3.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Freddy Fermin is better vs left-handed pitching. Brady Basso is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Fermin has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Brady Basso throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Freddy Fermin has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Curve (L)
21%
   Cutter (L)
13%
   Changeup (L)
12%
   Slider (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Freddy Fermin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Brady Basso strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% -4.6% 5%         Walk -2.4% -2.3% 36%         In Play +7.9% +6.9% 39%         On Base +4.8% +6.4% 31%         Hit +7.2% +8.6% 14%         Single +3.9% +3.8% 13%         2B / 3B +4.5% +4.3% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years