Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Freddy Fermin

matchup for Dustin May

122nd out of 436 (Best 29%)

Dustin May

matchup for Freddy Fermin

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of May

Freddy Fermin has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Dustin May, which is 0.5% higher than Fermin's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing May.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.3%	23.9%	1.2%	4.5%	18.2%	6.4%	18.4%
Fermin	+0.5	+0.9	-0.3	-0.4	+1.6	-0.3	-2.4
May	-1.8	-0.2	-1.3	+0.2	+0.9	-1.6	-4.9

Freddy Fermin is worse vs right-handed pitching. Dustin May is right handed .

Dustin May throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Freddy Fermin has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

42%

Cutter (R)

23%

Curve (R)

17%

4-Seam (R)

15%

12% of Dustin May's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Freddy Fermin has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-4%

43% of Dustin May's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Freddy Fermin has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 43%

+28%

Fastball (R) 79%

+26%

Extreme Fast Velo 22%

+19%

Just Gravity 32%

+18%

11.3% of Freddy Fermin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Dustin May strikes out 21.6% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.5% +7.8% 5%

Walk -2.4% -3.5% 36%

In Play +7.9% -4.2% 39%

On Base +4.8% -4.8% 31%

Hit +7.2% -1.2% 14%

Single +3.9% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B +4.5% +0.1% 3%

Home Run -1.1% -2.0%

36.1% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Dustin May induces Standard Grounders at a 43.1% rate, which is 8.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.4% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.6% +8.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.1% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.2% +1.4% 9%

Rising Liner -2.7% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.4% -2.4% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% -2.3% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.7% -1.4% 3%

Pop up +0.9% -0.7%

19.3% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. 20.9% of batted balls allowed by Dustin May are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.6% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.1% +0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.5% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% +1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.0% -3.4%

11.0% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 9.3% of batted balls allowed by Dustin May are hit at this angle, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%