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Freddy Fermin

matchup for Jalen Beeks

96th out of 436 (Best 23%)

Jalen Beeks

matchup for Freddy Fermin

194th out of 567 (Best 35%)

Leans in favor of Fermin

Freddy Fermin has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 1.0% higher than Fermin's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Beeks.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.8%	24.9%	1.4%	4.4%	19.2%	5.9%	14.2%
Fermin	+1.0	+1.9	-0.1	-0.6	+2.6	-0.8	-6.6
Beeks	-2.6	+0.8	-1.1	-0.5	+2.4	-3.4	-4.2

Freddy Fermin is better vs left-handed pitching. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fermin has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Freddy Fermin has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

47%

Changeup (L)

34%

Cutter (L)

11%

Curve (L)

14% of Jalen Beeks's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Freddy Fermin has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-1%

34% of Jalen Beeks's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Freddy Fermin hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (L) 34%

+21%

Medium Slow Velo 24%

+10%

Medium Break 29%

+10%

11.3% of Freddy Fermin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.5% -2.5% 5%

Walk -2.4% -0.1% 36%

In Play +7.9% +2.6% 39%

On Base +4.8% +0.4% 31%

Hit +7.2% +0.5% 14%

Single +3.9% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +4.5% +1.0% 3%

Home Run -1.1% -1.3%

36.1% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Jalen Beeks induces Standard Grounders at a 40.8% rate, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.4% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.6% +6.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.1% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.2% +0.7% 9%

Rising Liner -2.7% -1.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.4% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% -0.3% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.7% -4.1% 3%

Pop up +0.9% +1.4%

19.3% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. 20.7% of batted balls allowed by Jalen Beeks are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.6% +3.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.1% +4.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.5% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% -2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.0% -3.6%

11.0% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 8.6% of batted balls allowed by Jalen Beeks are hit at this angle, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.4% +5.2% 12%

-10 to 0° +4.6% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° +0.8% -1.5% 18%

7 to 18° -2.6% -0.6% 15%

19 to 28° -0.5% -1.6% 11%

29 to 38° -0.4% -2.8% 7%

39 to 50° -4.2% +0.3% 8%

Above 50° +1.9% +0.2%

Freddy Fermin has 2 plate appearances against Jalen Beeks in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	2	0	0	2	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.51	0.00	0.00	0.50			0.253

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-14	Single			36%	64%
2024-07-05	Single			15%	85%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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