Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Freddy Fermin

matchup for Chad Green

116th out of 436 (Best 27%)

Chad Green

matchup for Freddy Fermin

488th out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Strong advantage for Green

Freddy Fermin has a 25.5% chance of reaching base vs Chad Green, which is 4.3% lower than Fermin's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Green.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.5%	20.5%	1.8%	4.5%	14.2%	5.0%	21.4%
Fermin	-4.3	-2.6	+0.3	-0.5	-2.4	-1.7	+0.5
Green	-1.3	+0.3	-1.6	-0.5	+2.4	-1.6	-3.7

Freddy Fermin is worse vs right-handed pitching. Chad Green is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Fermin has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Chad Green throws a 4-seam fastball 72% of the time. Freddy Fermin has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

72%

Slider (R)

14%

Curve (R)

11%

16% of Chad Green's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Freddy Fermin has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

47% of Chad Green's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Freddy Fermin has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 47%

+28%

High Ride 37%

+27%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Fastball (R) 73%

+20%

11.3% of Freddy Fermin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Chad Green strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.5% +9.3% 5%

Walk -2.4% -3.9% 36%

In Play +7.9% -5.4% 39%

On Base +4.8% -8.6% 31%

Hit +7.2% -4.7% 14%

Single +3.9% -2.2% 13%

2B / 3B +4.5% -2.9% 3%

Home Run -1.1% +0.3%

36.1% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Chad Green induces Standard Grounders at a 25.6% rate, which is 8.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.4% -0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.6% -8.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.1% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -1.2% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner -2.7% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.4% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% +1.4% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.7% +9.5% 3%

Pop up +0.9% +1.8%

19.3% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Chad Green are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.6% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.1% -4.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.5% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% +4.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.0% +3.6%

11.0% of Freddy Fermin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 15.0% of batted balls allowed by Chad Green are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%