Matchup Machine

Freddy Fermin

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matchup for Martin Perez

91st out of 436 (Best 22%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Freddy Fermin

67th out of 567 (Best 13%)

Moderate advantage for Fermin
5

Model Prediction

Freddy Fermin has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 2.6% higher than Fermin's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%26.1%1.6%5.8%18.7%6.3%14.0%
Fermin+2.6+3.0+0.1+0.8+2.1-0.4-6.9
Perez-2.2+0.8-1.4+0.5+1.8-3.0-4.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Freddy Fermin is better vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fermin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Freddy Fermin hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Freddy Fermin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% -6.1% 5%         Walk -2.4% -0.3% 36%         In Play +7.9% +6.4% 39%         On Base +4.8% +5.9% 31%         Hit +7.2% +6.3% 14%         Single +3.9% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +4.5% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -1.1% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years