Matchup Machine

      Andres Gimenez

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      matchup for C. Hernandez

      230th out of 436 (Worst 47%)

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      Carlos Hernandez

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      matchup for Andres Gimenez

      135th out of 564 (Best 25%)

      Moderate advantage for Gimenez
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      Model Prediction

      Andres Gimenez has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 1.3% higher than Gimenez's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Hernandez.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Andres Gimenez is better vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gimenez has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Andres Gimenez has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      49%
         Slider (R)
      19%
         Curve (R)
      9%
         Kn-Curve (R)
      8%
         Splitter (R)
      6%
         Sinker (R)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      11.1% of Andres Gimenez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.9% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -5.9% -1.9% 6%         Walk -3.6% +1.9% 36%         In Play +9.5% 0.0% 39%         On Base +4.2% +0.8% 31%         Hit +7.7% -1.1% 14%         Single +4.0% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B +4.5% -0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.8% +0.6%

      History

      Andres Gimenez has 8 plate appearances against Carlos Hernandez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 8 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual881001100.125
      Expected From Contact →2.230.280.201.750.278
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-09-02Flyout22%4%75%
      2024-08-27Pop Out99%
      2024-06-28Groundout2%51%46%
      2023-06-27Flyout6%12%81%
      2022-10-05Strikeout
      2022-09-05Groundout12%88%
      2022-04-11Groundout21%79%
      2022-04-11Single1%91%8%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.