Matchup Machine

      Andres Gimenez

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      matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

      225th out of 436 (Worst 49%)

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      Elvin Rodriguez

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      matchup for Andres Gimenez

      out of 564 (Worst %)

      Strong advantage for Gimenez
      6

      Model Prediction

      Andres Gimenez has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 3.4% higher than Gimenez's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Andres Gimenez is better vs right-handed pitching. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Gimenez has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Andres Gimenez has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      51%
         Slider (R)
      21%
         Changeup (R)
      13%
         Curve (R)
      12%

      Contact and Outcomes

      11.1% of Andres Gimenez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.8% +6.5% 6%         Walk -3.8% +4.1% 36%         In Play +9.6% -10.5% 39%         On Base +4.0% +8.4% 31%         Hit +7.7% +4.3% 14%         Single +4.1% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +4.7% +0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +3.7%

      History

      Andres Gimenez has 4 plate appearances against Elvin Rodriguez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and a walk

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual431010210.333
      Expected From Contact →0.980.020.870.080.326
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2022-07-14Strikeout
      2022-07-14Double2%87%8%2%
      2022-07-14Walk
      2022-05-29Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.