Matchup Machine

Andres Gimenez

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matchup for Tanner Houck

112th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Andres Gimenez

319th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Leans in favor of Houck
2

Model Prediction

Andres Gimenez has a 28.6% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.7% lower than Gimenez's typical expectations, and 3.2% lower than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.6%22.2%1.2%4.4%16.5%6.4%14.2%
Gimenez-0.7-1.7-0.6-0.3-0.8+1.0-6.0
Houck-3.2+0.1-0.9+0.0+0.9-3.3-5.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Andres Gimenez is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Gimenez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Andres Gimenez has a C- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

11.1% of Andres Gimenez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.8% -1.6% 6%         Walk -3.8% +0.2% 36%         In Play +9.6% +1.4% 39%         On Base +4.0% +0.4% 31%         Hit +7.7% +0.3% 14%         Single +4.1% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +4.7% +0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.1% -0.9%

History

Andres Gimenez has 8 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 8 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual881001200.125
Expected From Contact →1.530.000.021.510.192
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-23GIDP3%97%
2024-04-23Groundout29%71%
2024-04-23Strikeout
2024-04-17Strikeout
2024-04-17Groundout3%97%
2024-04-17Groundout5%95%
2024-04-17Groundout25%74%
2022-06-24Single87%13%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.