Matchup Machine

Andres Gimenez

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matchup for Zack Littell

247th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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Zack Littell

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matchup for Andres Gimenez

309th out of 567 (Worst 46%)

Leans in favor of Littell
2

Model Prediction

Andres Gimenez has a 26.9% chance of reaching base vs Zack Littell, which is 2.4% lower than Gimenez's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Littell.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.9%23.3%2.0%6.1%15.2%3.6%17.1%
Gimenez-2.4-0.6+0.2+1.3-2.1-1.8-3.2
Littell-0.5+1.5-0.9+0.7+1.7-2.1-6.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Andres Gimenez is better vs right-handed pitching. Zack Littell is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gimenez has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zack Littell throws a Slider 38% of the time. Andres Gimenez has a C- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
38%
   4-Seam (R)
37%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   Sinker (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

11.1% of Andres Gimenez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Zack Littell strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.8% -0.6% 6%         Walk -3.8% -3.4% 36%         In Play +9.6% +4.0% 39%         On Base +4.0% -1.9% 31%         Hit +7.7% +1.5% 14%         Single +4.1% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +4.7% +0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.6%

History

Andres Gimenez has 9 plate appearances against Zack Littell in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 9.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual992002000.222
Expected From Contact →1.480.000.101.390.165
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-13Groundout2%1%97%
2024-09-13Groundout25%75%
2024-09-13Groundout4%2%94%
2024-07-13Pop Out100%
2024-07-13Single1%23%76%
2024-07-13Single1%55%44%
2023-09-02Groundout23%77%
2023-09-02Groundout10%90%
2023-09-02Hit By Pitch

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.