Matchup Machine

Andres Gimenez

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matchup for Zach Eflin

106th out of 436 (Best 25%)

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Zach Eflin

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matchup for Andres Gimenez

221st out of 567 (Best 40%)

Leans in favor of Gimenez
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Model Prediction

Andres Gimenez has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 0.2% higher than Gimenez's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Eflin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.4%26.3%1.8%5.2%19.3%4.1%18.2%
Gimenez+0.2+1.9+0.2+0.4+1.4-1.8-2.9
Eflin-0.8+1.8-1.3-0.6+3.7-2.6-2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Andres Gimenez is better vs right-handed pitching. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Gimenez has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Andres Gimenez has a B+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
33%
   Curve (R)
19%
   Cutter (R)
16%
   Slider (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

10.9% of Andres Gimenez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.3% -0.2% 6%         Walk -4.0% -4.0% 35%         In Play +10.2% +4.1% 39%         On Base +4.3% -3.8% 31%         Hit +8.2% +0.2% 14%         Single +4.5% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +5.0% 0.0% 3%         Home Run -1.2% +0.1%

History

Andres Gimenez has 7 plate appearances against Zach Eflin in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 7 with 2 home runs and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual774202000.571
Expected From Contact →3.361.520.930.910.480
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Home Run
2025-03-27Flyout
2024-08-03Flyout4%95%
2024-08-03Single4%75%22%
2024-08-03Lineout78%3%19%
2023-08-13Single9%90%
2023-08-13Home Run52%10%38%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.