Matchup Machine

Andres Gimenez

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matchup for Yusei Kikuchi

155th out of 436 (Best 36%)

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Yusei Kikuchi

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matchup for Andres Gimenez

518th out of 567 (Worst 9%)

Strong advantage for Kikuchi
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Model Prediction

Andres Gimenez has a 24.7% chance of reaching base vs Yusei Kikuchi, which is 4.6% lower than Gimenez's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Kikuchi.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.7%21.5%2.2%4.2%15.1%3.3%26.4%
Gimenez-4.6-2.4+0.3-0.5-2.2-2.1+6.2
Kikuchi-1.8+0.9-0.6-0.5+2.0-2.7-3.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Andres Gimenez is worse vs left-handed pitching. Yusei Kikuchi is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Gimenez has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yusei Kikuchi throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Andres Gimenez has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
24%
   Changeup (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
11%
   Cutter (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

11.1% of Andres Gimenez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.8% +4.3% 6%         Walk -3.8% -1.4% 36%         In Play +9.6% -2.8% 39%         On Base +4.0% -0.9% 31%         Hit +7.7% +0.5% 14%         Single +4.1% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +4.7% +0.3% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.2%

History

Andres Gimenez has 6 plate appearances against Yusei Kikuchi in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual650000110.000
Expected From Contact →0.680.000.020.660.137
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-27GIDP58%42%
2023-08-27Strikeout
2023-08-27Pop Out4%96%
2023-08-08Groundout2%4%94%
2023-08-08Walk
2023-08-08Pop Out99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.