Jazz Chisholm has a 26.5% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 4.6% lower than Chisholm's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Gaddis.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 26.5% | 18.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 32.3% |
Chisholm | -4.6 | -2.1 | +0.7 | -0.7 | -2.1 | -2.6 | +4.3 |
Gaddis | -0.9 | -0.8 | +0.8 | -0.5 | -1.1 | -0.1 | +5.2 |
Jazz Chisholm is better vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Chisholm has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.
Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Jazz Chisholm has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
14.8% of Jazz Chisholm's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Jazz Chisholm has 3 plate appearances against Hunter Gaddis in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.16 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.053 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-10-18 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-06-09 | Groundout | 8% | 3% | 89% | |
2023-04-22 | Flyout | 1% | 4% | 95% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.