Matchup Machine

Jazz Chisholm

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matchup for Hunter Gaddis

188th out of 436 (Best 44%)

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Hunter Gaddis

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matchup for Jazz Chisholm

470th out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Moderate advantage for Gaddis
5

Model Prediction

Jazz Chisholm has a 26.5% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 4.6% lower than Chisholm's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Gaddis.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.5%18.7%3.9%4.0%10.7%7.8%32.3%
Chisholm-4.6-2.1+0.7-0.7-2.1-2.6+4.3
Gaddis-0.9-0.8+0.8-0.5-1.1-0.1+5.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jazz Chisholm is better vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Chisholm has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Jazz Chisholm has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
39%
   Slider (R)
31%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

14.8% of Jazz Chisholm's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.3% -0.6% 4%         Walk -0.4% -1.7% 40%         In Play +0.1% +2.4% 39%         On Base +0.1% -5.5% 31%         Hit +0.6% -3.8% 14%         Single -0.7% -2.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% -2.4% 3%         Home Run +2.1% +1.5%

History

Jazz Chisholm has 3 plate appearances against Hunter Gaddis in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.160.010.120.030.053
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-10-18Strikeout
2024-06-09Groundout8%3%89%
2023-04-22Flyout1%4%95%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.