Matchup Machine

Jazz Chisholm

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matchup for Chase Silseth

251st out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Chase Silseth

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matchup for Jazz Chisholm

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Chisholm
1

Model Prediction

Jazz Chisholm has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Chase Silseth, which is 0.8% higher than Chisholm's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Silseth.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.9%20.0%3.5%4.3%12.2%11.9%32.6%
Chisholm+0.8-0.7+0.3-0.4-0.6+1.5+4.6
Silseth-0.3-0.6+0.8+0.3-1.7+0.3+4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jazz Chisholm is better vs right-handed pitching. Chase Silseth is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Chisholm has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chase Silseth throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jazz Chisholm has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
38%
   Slider (R)
24%
   Splitter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.8% of Jazz Chisholm's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Chase Silseth strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.3% +5.2% 4%         Walk -0.4% +4.8% 40%         In Play +0.1% -10.0% 39%         On Base +0.1% -0.6% 31%         Hit +0.6% -5.4% 14%         Single -0.7% -3.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% -2.8% 3%         Home Run +2.1% +0.5%

History

Jazz Chisholm has 2 plate appearances against Chase Silseth in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →0.880.000.030.850.439
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-01Groundout21%79%
2024-04-01Single2%65%33%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.