Matchup Machine

Jazz Chisholm

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

166th out of 436 (Best 39%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Jazz Chisholm

531st out of 567 (Worst 7%)

Strong advantage for Crochet
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Model Prediction

Jazz Chisholm has a 26.0% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 5.1% lower than Chisholm's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.0%18.9%3.1%4.2%11.5%7.1%40.6%
Chisholm-5.1-1.8-0.1-0.5-1.3-3.3+12.6
Crochet-1.5-2.1+0.7-0.8-1.9+0.6+5.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jazz Chisholm is worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Chisholm has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Jazz Chisholm has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.8% of Jazz Chisholm's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.3% +9.4% 4%         Walk -0.4% -1.3% 40%         In Play +0.1% -8.1% 39%         On Base +0.1% -3.9% 31%         Hit +0.6% -2.5% 14%         Single -0.7% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +2.1% +0.1%

History

Jazz Chisholm has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual320000210.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-06Strikeout
2024-07-06Strikeout
2024-07-06Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.