Matchup Machine

Jazz Chisholm

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matchup for P. Sandoval

261st out of 436 (Worst 40%)

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Patrick Sandoval

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matchup for Jazz Chisholm

257th out of 567 (Best 46%)

Moderate advantage for Chisholm
3

Model Prediction

Jazz Chisholm has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Sandoval, which is 0.4% higher than Chisholm's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Sandoval.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%21.9%3.4%4.9%13.6%9.6%27.0%
Chisholm+0.4+1.2+0.2+0.2+0.8-0.8-0.9
Sandoval-0.5-0.7+0.9+0.2-1.7+0.2+3.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jazz Chisholm is worse vs left-handed pitching. Patrick Sandoval is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Chisholm has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Patrick Sandoval throws a Changeup 27% of the time. Jazz Chisholm hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (L)
27%
   4-Seam (L)
26%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Sinker (L)
12%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

14.8% of Jazz Chisholm's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Patrick Sandoval strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.3% +3.4% 4%         Walk -0.4% 0.0% 40%         In Play +0.1% -3.4% 39%         On Base +0.1% -0.2% 31%         Hit +0.6% -0.1% 14%         Single -0.7% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +2.1% -1.4%

History

Jazz Chisholm has 5 plate appearances against Patrick Sandoval in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual540000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.280.000.040.240.070
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-03Groundout15%85%
2024-04-03Groundout2%3%95%
2024-04-03Walk
2022-04-12Flyout99%
2022-04-12Flyout2%6%92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.