Matchup Machine

Enmanuel Valdez

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matchup for Trevor Rogers

216th out of 436 (Best 50%)

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Trevor Rogers

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matchup for Enmanuel Valdez

147th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Strong advantage for Valdez
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Model Prediction

Enmanuel Valdez has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Rogers, which is 2.2% higher than Valdez's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Rogers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.7%21.3%3.0%5.1%13.2%12.4%19.7%
Valdez+2.2+0.3+0.1+0.3-0.1+1.9-4.2
Rogers-0.4-3.0+0.3-0.6-2.6+2.6+0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Enmanuel Valdez hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Trevor Rogers is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Valdez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Trevor Rogers throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Enmanuel Valdez hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
48%
   Changeup (L)
26%
   Slider (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

15.6% of Enmanuel Valdez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Trevor Rogers strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -1.0% -0.4% 5%         Walk -0.4% +0.3% 44%         In Play +1.3% +0.2% 39%         On Base -1.8% +0.7% 31%         Hit -1.4% +0.4% 14%         Single -1.3% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.9% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.8% -0.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years