Matchup Machine

      Enmanuel Valdez

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      matchup for Ryne Nelson

      321st out of 436 (Worst 27%)

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      Ryne Nelson

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      matchup for Enmanuel Valdez

      300th out of 564 (Worst 47%)

      Leans in favor of Valdez
      2

      Model Prediction

      Enmanuel Valdez has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Ryne Nelson, which is 0.4% higher than Valdez's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Nelson.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Enmanuel Valdez hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Ryne Nelson is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Valdez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Ryne Nelson throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Enmanuel Valdez has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      56%
         Cutter (R)
      15%
         Slider (R)
      11%
         Changeup (R)
      11%
         Curve (R)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      15.6% of Enmanuel Valdez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Ryne Nelson strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -1.0% -2.9% 5%         Walk -0.4% -2.2% 44%         In Play +1.3% +5.1% 39%         On Base -1.8% +0.3% 31%         Hit -1.4% +2.5% 14%         Single -1.3% +1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.9% +1.5% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +0.1%

      History

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