Matchup Machine

Enmanuel Valdez

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matchup for Michael Wacha

193rd out of 436 (Best 45%)

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Michael Wacha

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matchup for Enmanuel Valdez

332nd out of 567 (Worst 42%)

Leans in favor of Valdez
2

Model Prediction

Enmanuel Valdez has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.7% lower than Valdez's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Wacha.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.8%21.2%2.8%4.8%13.6%9.5%22.2%
Valdez-0.7+0.2-0.20.0+0.4-0.9-1.8
Wacha-0.4-1.9+0.1-0.3-1.7+1.5+0.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Enmanuel Valdez hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Valdez has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Enmanuel Valdez has a D grade against right-handed Changeups

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
31%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

15.6% of Enmanuel Valdez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -1.0% +0.4% 5%         Walk -0.4% -2.0% 44%         In Play +1.3% +1.5% 39%         On Base -1.8% -3.0% 31%         Hit -1.4% -1.0% 14%         Single -1.3% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.9% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +0.1%

History

Enmanuel Valdez has 2 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.010.000.010.010.007
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-21Flyout99%
2023-05-21Pop Out99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.